← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Nov 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Arda Kardesler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Kayserispor win | 24% | 3.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Atila Turan · Kayserispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Djalma · Alanyaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Baiano · Alanyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Kucher · Kayserispor |
| 59' | ⚽ | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mert Özyıldırım · Kayserispor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Alanyaspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 73' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | ⚽ | Junior Fernandes · Alanyaspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Silvestre Varela · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 10 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| coach days | 23.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1487.07 | 1452.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.36 | -22.52 |
| eye test v1 | -1.16 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.09 | 30.20 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |