← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 71% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.37 |
| Sivasspor win | 11% | 8.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Güven Yalçın · Besiktas |
| 14' | ⚽ | David Braz · Sivasspor |
| 33' | 🟨 | David Braz · Sivasspor |
| 53' | ⚽ | Emre Kılınç · Sivasspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ricardo Quaresma · Besiktas |
| 68' | 🟨 | Dorukhan Toköz · Besiktas |
| 68' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Domagoj Vida · Besiktas |
| 79' | 🟨 | Paul Papp · Sivasspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Enzo Roco · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 1259.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1706.09 | 1515.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.38 | -0.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.90 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.31 | 30.21 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |