← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 19% | 4.99 |
| Alanyaspor win | 13% | 7.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Alanyaspor |
| 19' | ⚽ | André Ayew · Fenerbahce |
| 31' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Fenerbahce |
| 57' | 🟨 | İsmail Köybaşı · Fenerbahce |
| 79' | 🟨 | Merih Demiral · Alanyaspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 163.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1693.43 | 1492.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.85 | -41.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| league points | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 2.97 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 29.31 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |