← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alper Ulusoy, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Bursaspor win | 19% | 5.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Trabzonspor |
| 43' | 🟨 | José Sosa · Trabzonspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Burak Yılmaz · Trabzonspor |
| 48' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 87' | ⚽ | Allano · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Barış Yardımcı · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Medical Park Stadyumu |
| coach days | 156.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1638.71 | 1490.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.49 | 24.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 9.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.72 | 26.36 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |