← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Kayserispor win | 29% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Mostapha El Kabir · Ankaragücü |
| 24' | 🟨 | Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik · Kayserispor |
| 27' | ⚽ | Ricardo Faty · Ankaragücü |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Tjaronn Chery · Kayserispor |
| 63' | ⚽ | Kubilay Kanatsızkuş · Ankaragücü |
| 67' | 🟨 | Rajko Rotman · Kayserispor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik · Kayserispor |
| 75' | 🟥 | Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik · Kayserispor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Bilal Başaçıkoğlu · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 825.00 |
| venue | Osmanli Stadi |
| 187.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.49 |
| elo | 1526.85 | 1456.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.93 | -10.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |