← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Oct 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Goztep win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Josué · Akhisarspor |
| 11' | 🟨 | Lamine Gassama · Goztep |
| 25' | 🟨 | Hélder Barbosa · Akhisarspor |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 54' | 🟨 | Güray Vural · Akhisarspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | André Poko · Goztep |
| 89' | 🟨 | Berkan Emir · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Lopes · Akhisarspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu |
| coach days | 58.00 | 485.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1477.37 | 1500.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.52 | 30.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.80 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| league points | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 30.35 | 28.90 |
| state index | -1.29 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |