← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 53% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Alanyaspor win | 19% | 5.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Iasmin Latovlevici · Bursaspor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Stéphane Badji · Bursaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Aytaç Kara · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | — |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 147.00 | 298.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| venue | Timsah Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1476.13 | 1516.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.78 | 10.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.56 |
| league points | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 6.85 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.76 | 29.48 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |