← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Goztep win | 25% | 3.87 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Wallace Reis · Goztep |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jeremain Lens · Besiktas |
| 51' | ⚽ | Cameron Jerome · Goztep |
| 60' | ⚽ | Wallace Reis · Goztep |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gökhan Gönül · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lamine Gassama · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Bornova Stadium |
| coach days | 477.00 | 1238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1477.48 | 1749.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.38 | -17.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
| league points | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 15.88 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.94 | 30.31 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |