← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Oct 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bulent Yildirim, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Sivasspor win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Arturo Mina · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 17' | ⚽ | Muhammet Demir · Sivasspor |
| 19' | 🟨 | Ziya Erdal · Sivasspor |
| 21' | ⚽ | Robinho · Sivasspor |
| 24' | ⚽ | Robinho · Sivasspor |
| 27' | 🟨 | Douglas · Sivasspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Douglas · Sivasspor |
| 52' | 🟥 | Douglas · Sivasspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sadık Çiftpınar · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mitchell Donald · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 75' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 77' | ⚽ | Adem Büyük · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Eren Tozlu · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 80' | ⚽ | Eren Tozlu · Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robinho · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Yeni Malatyaspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Yeni Malatya Stadyumu |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 401.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1551.32 | 1526.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.55 | -22.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.65 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 5.88 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.01 | 29.04 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |