← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Oct 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Antalyaspor win | 28% | 3.49 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Hakan Özmert · Antalyaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ricardo Faty · Ankaragücü |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mehmet Sak · Ankaragücü |
| 72' | 🟨 | Danilo · Antalyaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Hakan Özmert · Antalyaspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ruud Boffin · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chico · Antalyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ondřej Čelůstka · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Osmanli Stadi |
| coach days | 791.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1386.59 | 1523.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.45 | 20.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.83 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| league points | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.33 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.49 | 29.17 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |