← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Sep 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Cuneyt Cakir, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Rizespor win | 23% | 4.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Marwane Saadane · Rizespor |
| 30' | ⚽ | Vedat Muriqi · Rizespor |
| 35' | ⚽ | Aminu Umar · Rizespor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Braian Samudio · Rizespor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Yassine Benzia · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu |
| coach days | 29.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1451.56 | 1729.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.18 | -54.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| league points | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.18 | 28.16 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |