← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Aug 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Cuneyt Cakir, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Goztep win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Islam Slimani · Fenerbahce |
| 66' | ⚽ | Halil Akbunar · Goztep |
| 81' | 🟨 | André Poko · Goztep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wallace Reis · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Goztep | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 420.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| venue | Bornova Stadium |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.20 |
| 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1446.11 | 1783.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.22 | -5.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.65 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| state index | -0.92 | 1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |