← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Aug 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Sivasspor win | 21% | 4.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Delvin N'Dinga · Sivasspor |
| 7' | ⚽ | Olcay Şahan · Trabzonspor |
| 8' | 🟨 | Olcay Şahan · Trabzonspor |
| 13' | 🟨 | David Braz · Sivasspor |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Hugo Rodallega · Trabzonspor |
| 27' | ⚽ | Hugo Rodallega · Trabzonspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Douglas · Sivasspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Medical Park Stadyumu |
| coach days | 77.00 | 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1586.75 | 1580.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.51 | 7.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 4.90 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.66 | 28.75 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |