← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Aug 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 72% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.46 |
| Bursaspor win | 11% | 9.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | William Troost-Ekong · Bursaspor |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuliano · Fenerbahce |
| 24' | 🟨 | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 30' | ⚽ | Souza · Fenerbahce |
| 35' | 🟨 | André Ayew · Fenerbahce |
| 60' | 🟨 | Allano · Bursaspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nabil Dirar · Fenerbahce |
| 83' | 🟨 | Stéphane Badji · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aziz Behich · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 71.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1797.34 | 1443.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.02 | 3.90 |
| eye test v1 | 1.72 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.90 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.15 | 24.44 |
| state index | 1.83 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |