← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Le Havre AC win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Tony Mauricio · Valenciennes |
| 20' | 🟨 | Pape Gueye · Le Havre AC |
| 54' | ⚽ | Nathael Julan · Valenciennes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Romain Basque · Le Havre AC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Samba Camara · Le Havre AC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1225.00 | 951.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1409.60 | 1519.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.58 | -4.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.20 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 26.29 |
| state index | -1.26 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |