← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Karim Abed, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Niort win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 42' | ⚽ | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
| 43' | 🟨 | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 47' | 🟨 | David Djigla · Niort |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ande Dona Ndoh · Niort |
| 73' | 🟨 | Quentin Bena · Niort |
| 89' | 🟨 | Felipe Saad · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Goduine Koyalipou · Niort |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mamadou Kamissoko · FC Lorient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade René-Gaillard |
| coach days | 125.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1430.09 | 1486.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.06 | -21.43 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.55 |
| league points | 48.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.25 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.22 | 25.38 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |