← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.19 |
| Valenciennes win | 17% | 5.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Opa Nguette · Metz |
| 25' | ⚽ | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marvin Gakpa · Metz |
| 66' | 🟨 | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| coach days | 2.00 | 1218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1623.44 | 1415.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.90 | -24.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.90 | 68.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 2.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| league points | 85.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.18 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 28.39 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |