← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: William Lavis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| AJ Auxerre win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Kenji Van Boto · AJ Auxerre |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
| 60' | ⚽ | Yoane Wissa · FC Lorient |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kenji Van Boto · AJ Auxerre |
| 62' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 71' | ⚽ | Mohamed Yattara · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| coach days | 699.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1490.35 | 1421.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.84 | -3.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.72 |
| league points | 60.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.75 | 27.53 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |