← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
| Red Star win | 14% | 6.87 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ismael Camara · Red Star |
| 74' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Red Star |
| 85' | 🟨 | Harouna Sy · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gregoire Lefebvre · Red Star |
| 90' | ⚽ | Opa Nguette · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | 2.00 | 360.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1329.86 | 1619.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.57 | 10.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 70.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 2.83 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.94 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.86 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |