← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Niort win | 22% | 4.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Louis Ameka Autchanga · Niort |
| 6' | 🟨 | Yannick M'Bone · Chateauroux |
| 22' | 🟨 | Thibaut Vion · Niort |
| 25' | 🟨 | Christophe Mandanne · Chateauroux |
| 54' | ⚽ | Grégory Bourillon · Chateauroux |
| 58' | ⚽ | Christophe Mandanne · Chateauroux |
| 80' | 🟨 | Grégory Bourillon · Chateauroux |
| 84' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Petit |
| coach days | 2026.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1411.65 | 1433.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.92 | -20.72 |
| eye test v1 | -1.12 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 25.13 |
| state index | -0.91 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |