← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Orleans win | 21% | 4.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Gabriel Mutombo · Orleans |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 40' | 🟨 | Anthony Le Tallec · Orleans |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 47' | ⚽ | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Édouard Butin · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 0.60 |
| coach days | 1022.00 | 2483.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1605.13 | 1505.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.91 | 39.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 70.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 28.73 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |