← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephanie Frappart, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Beziers win | 19% | 5.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 14' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Banda · Beziers |
| 18' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Beziers |
| 19' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Beziers |
| 23' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 39' | 🟨 | Aboubakary Kanté · Beziers |
| 57' | 🟨 | Redah Atassi · Beziers |
| 61' | ⚽ | Simon Gbegnon · Beziers |
| 62' | 🟨 | Faycal Rherras · Beziers |
| 64' | ⚽ | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 74' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 79' | ⚽ | Robin Taillan · Beziers |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Aboubakary Kanté · Beziers |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Savane · Beziers |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Beziers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1204.00 | 928.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1435.82 | 1383.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.09 | -25.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.40 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 40.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 27.24 |
| state index | -0.66 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |