← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Eric Wattellier, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Red Star win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Oussama Abdeldjelil · Red Star |
| 28' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Nancy |
| 87' | ⚽ | Vagner Dias · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | — · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 26.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.00 |
| 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1337.35 | 1431.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.84 | -8.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 27.45 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |