← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Grenoble win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Ryan Sanusi · Grenoble |
| 48' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 64' | ⚽ | Arsène Elogo · Grenoble |
| 71' | ⚽ | Nicolas Belvito · Grenoble |
| 78' | 🟨 | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| coach days | 193.00 | 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1394.85 | 1403.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.60 | -15.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| league points | 66.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 29.51 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |