← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Red Star win | 18% | 5.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Diallo · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 20' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jordan Faucher · Red Star |
| 74' | ⚽ | Mathias Autret · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 12.00 | 1008.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1323.29 | 1590.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.30 | -30.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 24.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.84 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.97 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |