← Ligue 2 2018 · Sun, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| FC Lorient win | 20% | 4.76 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Illan Meslier · FC Lorient |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Habib Diallo · Metz |
| 34' | 🟥 | Opa Nguette · Metz |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Sissoko · FC Lorient |
| 67' | 🟨 | Sidy Sarr · FC Lorient |
| 77' | ⚽ | Marvin Gakpa · Metz |
| 82' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 87' | 🟨 | Farid Boulaya · Metz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| coach days | 334.00 | 670.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.64 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1603.43 | 1504.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.43 | -14.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 68.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 15.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.03 | 26.05 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |