← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Red Star win | 17% | 5.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 8' | ⚽ | Oussama Abdeldjelil · Red Star |
| 39' | ⚽ | Oussama Abdeldjelil · Red Star |
| 40' | 🟨 | Formose Mendy · Red Star |
| 41' | ⚽ | Hicham Benkaid · Orleans |
| 44' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Perrin · Orleans |
| 62' | 🟨 | Formose Mendy · Red Star |
| 62' | 🟥 | Formose Mendy · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| coach days | 2462.00 | 5.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1482.15 | 1317.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.90 | -9.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 48.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.93 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 28.17 |
| state index | 0.55 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |