← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Valenciennes win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Laurent Abergel · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eden Massouema · Valenciennes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 179.00 | 1183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.60 |
| -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1442.00 | 1430.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.17 | 23.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| league points | 36.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 28.94 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |