← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Chateauroux win | 21% | 4.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Leo Leroy · Chateauroux |
| 60' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 64' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Chaker Alhadhur · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 179.00 | 2005.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1403.05 | 1413.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.70 | -12.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 41.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 64.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 10.80 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 27.44 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |