← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Red Star win | 22% | 4.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Florian Ayé · Clermont |
| 39' | 🟨 | Vital Nsimba · Clermont |
| 48' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Clermont |
| 57' | ⚽ | Franck Honorat · Clermont |
| 64' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Clermont |
| 65' | 🟨 | Florian Ayé · Clermont |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jordan Faucher · Red Star |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mamadou Bagayoko · Red Star |
| 86' | 🟨 | Samba Diakite · Red Star |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julien Laporte · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | 165.00 | 2448.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1328.22 | 1549.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.63 | -0.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 69.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 23.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 25.78 |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |