← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| Valenciennes win | 16% | 6.23 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 980.00 | 1162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1623.04 | 1422.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.47 | 33.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| league points | 62.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.52 | 29.12 |
| state index | 0.37 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |