← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Nancy win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
| 28' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 34' | ⚽ | Vagner Dias · Nancy |
| 43' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Santy Ngom · Nancy |
| 45' | ⚽ | Vagner Dias · Nancy |
| 49' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · FC Lorient |
| 71' | ⚽ | Amine Bassi · Nancy |
| 86' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid El Kaoutari · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 158.00 | 647.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1440.66 | 1514.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 60.31 | 10.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 26.36 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |