← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Yohann Rouinsard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Red Star win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Xavier Tomas · Red Star |
| 39' | 🟨 | David Kiki · Red Star |
| 42' | 🟨 | Gregoire Lefebvre · Red Star |
| 43' | 🟨 | Matteo Tramoni · Ajaccio |
| 47' | 🟨 | Aboubacar Demba Camara · Red Star |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jeremy Choplin · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| coach days | 158.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1399.58 | 1324.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.84 | -1.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| league points | 59.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.71 | 25.91 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |