← Ligue 2 2018 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Orleans win | 19% | 5.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ (og) | Felipe Saad · Orleans |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ousmane Cissokho · Orleans |
| 49' | ⚽ | Thomas Ephestion · Orleans |
| 68' | 🟨 | Vincent Le Goff · FC Lorient |
| 74' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Orleans |
| 81' | 🟨 | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gauthier Gallon · Orleans |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Pierre-Yves Hamel · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 641.00 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| 2435.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 1.83 |
| elo | 1538.46 | 1431.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.48 | 41.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 49.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.78 | 7.78 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.42 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.67 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |