← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Ajaccio win | 29% | 3.34 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 34' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 51' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Saliou Ciss · Valenciennes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Johan Cavalli · Ajaccio |
| 73' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 79' | ⚽ | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 2 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1155.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1405.41 | 1430.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.85 | 3.46 |
| eye test v1 | -1.22 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 30.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 28.80 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |