← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jeremie Pignard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Valenciennes win | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Matthieu Fontaine · Red Star |
| 55' | 🟨 | Laurent Dos Santos · Valenciennes |
| 57' | 🟥 | Clément Chantôme · Red Star |
| 68' | ⚽ | Amadou Diallo · Red Star |
| 77' | 🟨 | Samba Diakite · Red Star |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gregoire Lefebvre · Red Star |
| 82' | 🟨 | Eden Massouema · Valenciennes |
| 88' | 🟨 | Maxence Derrien · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | 144.00 | 1148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1322.99 | 1416.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.11 | 19.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 19.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.54 | 25.58 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |