← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Ajaccio win | 21% | 4.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 16' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Lalaina Nomenjanahary · Paris FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · Ajaccio |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ogou Akichi · Paris FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alliou Dembele · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 259.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1577.78 | 1425.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.11 | 2.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.91 | 0.68 |
| league points | 49.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 28.08 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |