← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Orleans win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 48' | 🟨 | Hicham Benkaid · Orleans |
| 51' | ⚽ | Hicham Benkaid · Orleans |
| 57' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 61' | 🟥 | Adrien Monfray · Orleans |
| 69' | ⚽ | Quentin Lecoeuche · Orleans |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nama Fofana · Chateauroux |
| 76' | ⚽ | Abdoulaye Sissako · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Petit |
| coach days | 1963.00 | 2420.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.58 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1438.06 | 1426.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.63 | -1.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| league points | 30.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.00 | 27.27 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |