← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Valenciennes win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Gaetan Arib · Valenciennes |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Coulibaly · Grenoble |
| 20' | ⚽ (pen) | Youssouf M'Changama · Grenoble |
| 32' | 🟨 | Harouna Abou Demba · Grenoble |
| 33' | ⚽ | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
| 41' | ⚽ | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Jorris Romil · Valenciennes |
| 74' | 🟨 | Eric Vandenabeele · Grenoble |
| 75' | ⚽ | Florian Sotoca · Grenoble |
| 77' | 🟥 | Maxime Spano · Grenoble |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1141.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1407.64 | 1423.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.53 | -9.55 |
| eye test v1 | -1.18 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 27.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.83 | 29.00 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |