← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Faouzi Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Orleans win | 31% | 3.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 21' | ⚽ | Quentin Lecoeuche · Orleans |
| 30' | 🟨 | Maxime D'Arpino · Orleans |
| 42' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 60' | 🟨 | Fernand Mayembo · Le Havre AC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Denys Bain · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| coach days | 2413.00 | 860.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1424.44 | 1546.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.88 | 10.56 |
| eye test v1 | -1.19 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.03 | 25.51 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |