← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 37% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Chateauroux win | 31% | 3.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟥 | Denis Will Poha · Nancy |
| 32' | 🟨 | Grégory Bourillon · Chateauroux |
| 50' | 🟨 | Malaly Dembele · Nancy |
| 54' | ⚽ | Razak Boukari · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 130.00 | 1956.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -0.60 |
| 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1380.35 | 1427.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.88 | -8.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 27.87 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |