← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benoit Millot, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.74 |
| FC Lorient win | 28% | 3.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Julien Ponceau · FC Lorient |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jimmy Cabot · FC Lorient |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mamadou Kamissoko · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 252.00 | 619.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.80 |
| 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1432.85 | 1509.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.23 | -9.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.52 |
| league points | 36.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.16 | 26.10 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |