← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastein Dechepy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 |
| Valenciennes win | 13% | 7.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Jorris Romil · Valenciennes |
| 69' | 🟥 | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 72' | 🟨 | Frédéric Bong · Valenciennes |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julien Laporte · Clermont |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel Montpied |
| coach days | 2413.00 | 1134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1566.19 | 1391.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.80 | -7.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.80 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 26.87 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |