← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Ajaccio win | 17% | 5.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Fabien Lemoine · FC Lorient |
| 40' | 🟥 | Joris Sainati · FC Lorient |
| 50' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ghislain Gimbert · Ajaccio |
| 64' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir |
| coach days | 612.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 1.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1503.72 | 1425.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.24 | 0.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 28.29 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |