← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 35' | 🟨 | Nathael Julan · Valenciennes |
| 35' | 🟨 | Matthieu Saunier · FC Lorient |
| 38' | 🟥 | Sikou Niakaté · Valenciennes |
| 39' | ⚽ | Vincent Le Goff · FC Lorient |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Lorient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matthieu Saunier · FC Lorient |
| 45' | 🟥 | Matthieu Saunier · FC Lorient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Saliou Ciss · Valenciennes |
| 76' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · FC Lorient |
| 79' | 🟨 | Illan Meslier · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1120.00 | 605.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1396.47 | 1494.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.68 | -38.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| league points | 22.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.68 | 25.58 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |