← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Chateauroux win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Grégory Bourillon · Chateauroux |
| 45' | 🟨 | Chaker Alhadhur · Chateauroux |
| 56' | ⚽ | Cheick Diarra · Chateauroux |
| 71' | 🟨 | Loïc Lapoussin · Red Star |
| 79' | ⚽ | Razak Boukari · Chateauroux |
| 86' | 🟨 | Maxime Barthelmé · Chateauroux |
| 87' | ⚽ | Matthieu Fontaine · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| coach days | 116.00 | 1942.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1334.10 | 1415.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.27 | -37.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| league points | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 29.84 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |