← Ligue 2 2018 · Mon, Jan 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sylvain Palhies, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.76 |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 234.00 | 934.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1562.67 | 1612.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.98 | -13.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.74 |
| league points | 39.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.09 | 27.00 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |