← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Orleans win | 18% | 5.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Loïc Goujon · AJ Auxerre |
| 32' | 🟨 | Yohan Demoncy · Orleans |
| 41' | 🟨 | Karim Ziani · Orleans |
| 45' | ⚽ | Julien Féret · AJ Auxerre |
| 64' | 🟨 | Gabriel Mutombo · Orleans |
| 77' | ⚽ | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 78' | ⚽ | Carlens Arcus · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps |
| coach days | 413.00 | 2392.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1481.93 | 1420.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 59.58 | -26.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.59 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 28.18 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |