← Ligue 2 2018 · Tue, Jan 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.97 |
| Valenciennes win | 16% | 5.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 20' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 21' | ⚽ | Fernand Mayembo · Le Havre AC |
| 23' | 🟨 | Fernand Mayembo · Le Havre AC |
| 32' | ⚽ | Tino Kadewere · Le Havre AC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Florian Raspentino · Valenciennes |
| 36' | ⚽ | Jorris Romil · Valenciennes |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
| 67' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jean-Pascal Fontaine · Le Havre AC |
| 82' | 🟨 | Romain Basque · Le Havre AC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 88' | 🟥 | Johann Ramare · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 836.00 | 1110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1535.06 | 1399.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.66 | -0.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 30.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 27.12 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |