← Ligue 2 2018 · Fri, Jan 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Nancy win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Vincent Marchetti · Nancy |
| 29' | ⚽ | Romain Perraud · Paris FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 33' | 🟨 | Wilfried Moimbé · Nancy |
| 74' | ⚽ | Julien López · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 102.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1382.22 | 1555.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.63 | 23.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.87 |
| league points | 17.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 27.83 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 29.03 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |